empty
08.02.2024 05:43 PM
Bitcoin consolidated above $44k: has the bullish rally resumed?

Bitcoin has been in a consolidation phase for the past week and a half, with the price locked within a narrow range of $40.5k–$43.4k. During this period, price changes fluctuated around 1%, and trading activity did not exceed $25 billion. Meanwhile, various categories of investors continued to actively accumulate BTC coins, but there was no clear confidence in the cryptocurrency's bullish prospects.

This image is no longer relevant

We considered two scenarios for Bitcoin's development, and as of February 8, the asset approached the realization of the bullish scenario. The cryptocurrency consolidated above $44k and continues to rise towards the $44.5k level. Trading volumes and buyer activity on the asset's network significantly increased, indicating the potential for continued growth. However, it is premature to claim that Bitcoin has fully resumed a bullish rally.

Bullish Scenario

Recall that the bullish scenario for Bitcoin involves the cryptocurrency resuming its upward movement to the $45k level after a local correction. Near this mark, the 0.618 Fibonacci level passes, which is a key resistance zone and, at the same time, the final zone for corrective movement in the long term. To eliminate the probability of a repeat decline and a retest of the shoulders level at $40.5k, the asset needs to break through $45k.

This image is no longer relevant

As of writing, Bitcoin is trading near the $44.5k level, with daily trading volumes around $24 billion. It is worth noting that trading volumes remain low, while the number of unique addresses on the BTC network continues to grow, which is a positive signal. Bitcoin is gradually approaching the broad accumulation zone of $44.5k–$45k, where a local pullback may occur.

This image is no longer relevant

On the 4-hour chart, the stochastic oscillator has entered the overbought zone, indicating the prospect of a cryptocurrency price pullback in the near future. Among the potential levels for a local correction, $43.9k and $43.4k can be highlighted. However, Bitcoin doesn't need to undergo a local correction immediately after the start of the rally, but resistance from sellers will increase. Therefore, fundamental macro factors may play a crucial role in the upcoming retest of $45k.

Fundamental Background

Moderate optimism is gradually returning to the cryptocurrency market, as well as to other financial markets. Investors still hope that the Federal Reserve System will begin easing monetary policy before the second half of 2024. As the Fed meeting has just concluded, and inflation data will be released next week, traders will be monitoring labor market indicators.

This image is no longer relevant

Conclusion

Bitcoin has emerged from a state of dormancy, and the cryptocurrency market has entered an active phase of upward movement. In the context of the global situation, this process occurs within the framework of a corrective movement, making it crucial for investors that Bitcoin consolidates above $45k. However, given the possibility of negative macroeconomic data, it is advisable to be prepared for a decline in BTC quotes. Considering that selling volumes remain high, this scenario also appears likely.

Seleccione el marco de tiempo
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hora
4
horas
1
día
1
s.
Gana con los cambios en el valor de las criptomonedas con InstaForex.
Descarga MetaTrader 4 y abre tu primera operación.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO

Recommended Stories

Recomendaciones para operar con el Bitcoin para el 11 de junio según el sistema ICT.

La corrección terminó sin apenas comenzar. El Bitcoin lleva seis días consecutivos creciendo vertiginosamente y ha vuelto a sus máximos históricos. Este movimiento estuvo precedido por al menos dos patrones

Paolo Greco 07:53 2025-06-11 UTC+2

El Bitcoin vuelve a subir, y hay razones para ello

El Bitcoin ha vuelto al crecimiento, arrastrando consigo a otros activos del mercado de criptomonedas. El repunte de hoy durante la sesión asiática indica claramente una ruptura de niveles técnicos

Jakub Novak 13:08 2025-06-10 UTC+2

Recomendaciones para operar con el Bitcoin el 10 de junio según el sistema ICT

La corrección terminó sin siquiera haber comenzado. Por quinto día consecutivo, el Bitcoin sube como la espuma. Este movimiento fue precedido por al menos dos patrones "alcistas" en el marco

Paolo Greco 08:05 2025-06-10 UTC+2

El Bitcoin se balancea en el límite

La presión sobre el Bitcoin está regresando gradualmente, ya que la incapacidad repetida de superar el nivel de $106 000 indica que todo el crecimiento reciente tuvo un carácter

Jakub Novak 08:31 2025-06-09 UTC+2

Recomendaciones para operar con el Bitcoin el 9 de junio según el sistema ICT.

El Bitcoin continúa una corrección bajista tras la retirada de liquidez desde su último ATH, que todos habían estado esperando durante tanto tiempo. La retirada de liquidez desde el último

Paolo Greco 07:42 2025-06-09 UTC+2

Análisis del par BTC/USD. El 4 de junio. El Bitcoin podría finalizar su crecimiento

El conteo de ondas en el gráfico de 4 horas para el instrumento BTC/USD se ha complicado. Observamos una estructura correctiva bajista que finalizó su formación alrededor del nivel

Chin Zhao 07:42 2025-06-04 UTC+2

Recomendaciones para operar con el Bitcoin el 4 de junio según el sistema ICT

El Bitcoin finalmente comenzó una corrección bajista después de la retirada de liquidez desde su último ATH. La retirada de liquidez desde el último ATH puede significar no solo

Paolo Greco 07:42 2025-06-04 UTC+2

Recomendaciones para operar con el Bitcoin el 3 de junio según el sistema ICT.

El Bitcoin finalmente comenzó una corrección bajista después de retirar liquidez de su último ATH. La retirada de liquidez del último ATH puede significar no solo un retroceso, sino

Paolo Greco 07:22 2025-06-03 UTC+2

Las perspectivas técnicas de crecimiento de el Bitcoin son bastante buenas

El Bitcoin tocó fondo en la zona de los $104 000 y en los primeros días de junio se negocia a un precio cercano a los $104 500. Es evidente

Jakub Novak 13:27 2025-06-02 UTC+2

Recomendaciones para operar con el Bitcoin el 30 de mayo según el sistema ICT

El Bitcoin con mucho esfuerzo ha comenzado a corregirse, tras la retirada de liquidez de su último ATH. Durante casi una semana la criptomoneda se mantuvo en el mismo lugar

Paolo Greco 07:40 2025-05-30 UTC+2
¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.