empty
29.03.2023 11:16 AM
Bitcoin continues to move sideways, but the clouds are gathering: what to expect in the near term?

The previous bullish week ended and left the cryptocurrency market in a state of increased volatility. The market has been consolidating and moving sideways for the fifth day to stabilize the situation. Trading volumes have fallen below $20 billion, and volatility has decreased significantly.

At the end of yesterday's trading day Bitcoin came close to the lower boundary of the $26.6k consolidation channel. However, the asset managed to rebound from this level and recover above $28k. This means that Bitcoin will retest the upper boundary of the consolidation channel in the near future.

This image is no longer relevant

The cryptocurrency has a ghostly chance to break through the upper border near $29k, and develop the next stage of the upward movement. This option is likely, but only within the framework of manipulative actions in order to collect liquidity beyond the resistance levels. Otherwise, the situation is becoming increasingly bearish, both fundamentally and technically.

Fundamental Factors

According to MarketDesk, Fed officials fear another round of rising inflation due to stimulus for the banking system. Against this background, the BlackRock investment fund makes a statement that the regulator will continue to raise the rate, and there is a high probability of dragging out the current monetary policy until the end of summer.

This image is no longer relevant

Goldman Sachs analysts said their estimate of the likelihood of a recession in the U.S. economy over the next 12 months rose from 25% to 35%. The index may rise even higher on Friday, on the release of GDP data for Q4 2022 and labor market statistics.

U.S. regulators continue to smoothly "squeeze" liquidity from the largest exchange, Binance. The CFTC has filed a lawsuit against the crypto exchange and wants a complete ban on the company's operations in the U.S., as well as all of its subsidiaries.

This image is no longer relevant

Against the background of this statement, the cryptocurrency market collapsed locally, having experienced an outflow of funds of more than $300 million per day. However, in addition to fundamental reasons, there are more and more technical signals that Bitcoin, and the entire market behind it, are moving in the direction of a corrective movement.

Profit-taking in BTC intensifies

As of March 29, Bitcoin was up 3.8% as part of a recovery move above $28k. On the daily chart, the cryptocurrency formed a bullish cross on the stochastic, which may indicate a further upward movement. At the same time, there is divergence on the MACD, and thus we should not expect great results from the upward move.

This image is no longer relevant

Last week, we noted emerging trends among long-term investors and miners. The former began to sell off their holdings when the price peaked above $28.5k. In the same period, miner stocks fell by 600 BTC in just two days.

This image is no longer relevant

Obviously, due to the lack of growth in the price of BTC and the retention of the key support at $26.6k, investors come to a decision in the form of profit-taking. Glassnode experts say profit-taking sentiment has expanded to short-term investors.

This image is no longer relevant

The current distribution period is also an important signal for a likely decline in the Bitcoin price. The price is testing the lower boundary of the current corridor with increasing volumes and volatility. At the same time, the recovery movement of the price occurs with falling volumes.

Results

Such observations indicate that bearish sentiment on the BTC market is growing, and in the near future, when the process of profit-taking will reach its apogee, we expect a breakdown of the $26.6k level. The nearest support zone for BTC will be $25k–$25.3k.

This image is no longer relevant

Subsequently, the asset may fall further to the levels of $23.6k–$24k and $22.1k. Simultaneously with the price decline there will be a stage of mass redistribution of BTC coins and liquidity withdrawal, which in the medium term will become a springboard for movement to $30k.

Seleccione el marco de tiempo
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hora
4
horas
1
día
1
s.
Gana con los cambios en el valor de las criptomonedas con InstaForex.
Descarga MetaTrader 4 y abre tu primera operación.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO

Recommended Stories

Recomendaciones para operar con el Bitcoin el 29 de mayo según el sistema ICT

El Bitcoin continúa con un crecimiento inusualmente no técnico y anómalo sin ninguna corrección ni retroceso. En los últimos días la situación técnica prácticamente no ha cambiado y la volatilidad

Paolo Greco 08:17 2025-05-29 UTC+2

Recomendaciones para operar con el Bitcoin el 28 de mayo según el sistema ICT

El Bitcoin mantiene un crecimiento anómalo, excepcionalmente no técnico, sin una sola corrección o retroceso. En los últimos días, el panorama técnico apenas ha cambiado y la volatilidad es bastante

Paolo Greco 08:06 2025-05-28 UTC+2

Análisis del par BTC/USD. El 27 de mayo. El pump del Bitcoin continuará

El conteo de ondas en el gráfico de 4 horas para el instrumento BTC/USD se ha complicado. Hemos observado una estructura correctiva descendente que concluyó alrededor del nivel

Chin Zhao 07:28 2025-05-27 UTC+2

Recomendaciones para operar con el Bitcoin el 27 de mayo según el sistema ICT

El Bitcoin continúa un crecimiento excepcionalmente no técnico y anómalo sin ninguna corrección ni retroceso. En los últimos días, el panorama técnico apenas ha cambiado, y la volatilidad es relativamente

Paolo Greco 07:28 2025-05-27 UTC+2

El Bitcoin se mantiene por encima de los $107 000

El Bitcoin ha vuelto a subir y ya ha superado el nivel de $109 900 tras una buena corrección hacia la zona de $106 000 el pasado fin de semana

Jakub Novak 11:08 2025-05-26 UTC+2

Recomendaciones para operar en el mercado de criptomonedas el 26 de mayo

La demanda de el Bitcoin y Ethereum regresó a comienzos de esta semana. El Bitcoin superó el nivel de $109 000, mientras que Ethereum intenta consolidarse por encima

Miroslaw Bawulski 11:08 2025-05-26 UTC+2

Análisis del par BTC/USD. El 23 de mayo. Otro pump del bitcoin

El conteo de ondas del gráfico de 4 horas para el instrumento BTC/USD se ha complicado un poco. Hemos visto una estructura correctiva bajista que finalizó su formación cerca

Chin Zhao 11:26 2025-05-23 UTC+2

Recomendaciones para operar con el Bitcoin el 23 de mayo según el sistema ICT

El Bitcoin continúa con un crecimiento anómalo y extremadamente no técnico, sin una sola corrección o retroceso. En poco más de un mes, el «oro digital» se ha encarecido

Paolo Greco 07:20 2025-05-23 UTC+2

Recomendaciones para operar con el Bitcoin (BTC) el 21 de mayo según el sistema ICT.

El Bitcoin sigue subiendo de forma inusualmente no técnica y sin una sola corrección o retroceso. Recordemos que el Bitcoin ha subido más de $31 000 en poco

Paolo Greco 07:12 2025-05-21 UTC+2

Análisis del par BTC/USD. El 20 de mayo. Nada puede desviar al Bitcoin de su camino

El análisis de ondas del gráfico de 4 horas para el par BTC/USD se ha complicado en los últimos meses. Hemos visto una estructura correctiva descendente que finalizó cerca

Chin Zhao 07:36 2025-05-20 UTC+2
¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.