empty
21.07.2025 07:36 PM
XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

At the start of the European session on Monday, gold showed a positive tone, but the price continues to trade within a multi-week range. The US dollar, retreating from its monthly highs after dovish comments last week by Federal Reserve Board Governor Christopher Waller, is contributing to support for the precious metal.

This image is no longer relevant

In addition, concerns about the potential economic consequences of import tariffs introduced by US President Donald Trump have become another factor pushing the safe-haven metal higher for a second consecutive day.

However, market participants believe that the Federal Reserve may delay rate cuts due to signs that Trump's tariffs are impacting inflation by affecting consumer prices. This creates a favorable backdrop for the dollar, restraining traders from aggressive gold buying, as the metal has yet to show significant upside momentum. Therefore, it would be prudent to wait for confirmation of a sustained upward trend via a breakout from the multi-week range before preparing for new long positions, especially given the absence of important US economic data on Monday. Nonetheless, fundamental factors remain generally supportive of further gains in the yellow metal.

From a technical perspective, today's price increase met strong resistance at the upper boundary of the multi-week range around $3365. A decisive breakout above this barrier would act as a key trigger for bulls, potentially lifting prices toward the $3400 round level. Positive momentum could then continue, targeting the next key resistance near $3450.

On the other hand, support is located at $3324, where the 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) lies, followed by the psychological level of $3300. Further selling below the monthly low in the $3280–3282 level would open the way for deeper losses, pulling the price toward the June low. Failure to defend these levels would tilt the bias in favor of the bears.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Irina Yanina
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Market shrugs off PPI spike

Markets once again brushed off bad news. The S&P 500 managed to close higher, holding up against the hit from the Producer Price Index. On a monthly basis

Marek Petkovich 09:37 2025-08-15 UTC+2

Is the PPI Dynamics Useful for Markets? (Possible Resumption of Growth in Bitcoin and GBP/USD)

The producer inflation data released on Thursday unexpectedly had a noticeable, albeit limited, impact on financial markets. However, the shock was neither deep nor long-lasting. Let's try to understand

Pati Gani 09:13 2025-08-15 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on August 15? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

There are not many macroeconomic releases scheduled for Friday, but there will be some. In Germany, the UK, and the Eurozone, the event calendars are empty, but in the U.S

Paolo Greco 06:53 2025-08-15 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – August 15: Even the UK Economy Supports Growth

The GBP/USD currency pair spent most of Thursday moving sideways, but there is no reason to think the uptrend has ended. The pound sterling has been steadily rising since completing

Paolo Greco 03:50 2025-08-15 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – August 15: A Decisive Friday

The EUR/USD currency pair pulled back slightly on Thursday, but this retracement has no real impact. Ahead lies an event of major importance not only for Europe, the United States

Paolo Greco 03:50 2025-08-15 UTC+2

The Fed Gets Caught in a Whirlpool of Events. Part 2

What to do with the Federal Reserve's puzzle of three "points of contention" remains unclear even now, when the probability of a rate cut in September stands at 100%, according

Chin Zhao 01:07 2025-08-15 UTC+2

The Fed Gets Caught in a Whirlpool of Events. Part 1

The intrigue surrounding the September meeting continues to grow. No one in the market doubts that the rate will be lowered at the next meeting, but at the same time

Chin Zhao 01:07 2025-08-15 UTC+2

GBP/USD. UK GDP and US PPI

The pound failed to break through the 1.36 level. The pair had been actively rising for the past two and a half weeks, but the 1.3600 target proved

Irina Manzenko 00:44 2025-08-15 UTC+2

The Dollar Perks Up

The release of the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for July came as a cold shower for EUR/USD bulls. The index rose by 0.9% month-on-month—the fastest pace since June 2022

Marek Petkovich 00:44 2025-08-15 UTC+2

EUR/USD. A correction, not a trend reversal

On Wednesday, the euro-dollar pair once again attempted to consolidate within the 1.17 handle, but the upward momentum faded after buyers failed to break through the 1.1750 resistance level (upper

Irina Manzenko 00:44 2025-08-15 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.