empty
InstaForex - Official partner of Dragon Racing
InstaForex - Official partner of Dragon Racing
This section is designed for those who are just starting their trading journey. InstaForex educational and analytical materials will meet your training needs. Our experts' recommendations will make your first steps to trading success simple and clear.
Start as Beginner
How to start trading
Useful information
Training and recordings
InstaForex innovative services are an essential element of productive investment. We strive to provide our clients with advanced technical capabilities and make their trading routine comfortable as we are recognized as the best broker in this regard.
Become Investor
PAMM System
ForexCopy System
Passive investments
Partnership with InstaForex is beneficial and top-tier. Join our affiliate programs and enjoy bonuses, partner rewards, and the possibility to travel with the team of the world-renowned brand.
Become Partner
Main Page
Partner Area
Advantages for Affiliates
Registration
This section contains the most lucrative offers from InstaForex. Receive bonuses when topping up an account, compete with other traders, and get real prizes even when trading in a demo account.
All Promo Campaigns
Bonuses
Contests
Events
Holidays with InstaForex are not only pleasant but also useful. We offer a one-stop portal, numerous forums, and corporate blogs, where traders can exchange experiences and become successfully integrated into the Forex community.
Full details
Forums
We are in social networks
Forex humour
Forex Portal
InstaForex is an international brand created in 2007. The company provides services for online FX trading and is recognized as one of the world's leading brokers. We have won the trust of more than 7,000,000 retail traders, who have already appreciated our reliability and focus on innovations.
Learn More
History
Why Choose Us
InstaSport
Regulation
Company News
Awards
InstaForex Stars
InstaForex Offline
Headquarters
Key documents
Social Responsibility
27.08.2024 01:12 PM
The Euro Develops Bullish Momentum. Overview of EUR/USD
Open trading account Open demo account

The economic situation in the Eurozone remains stable, with incoming data not distorting the overall assessment of the key macroeconomic indicators that could potentially alter forecasts for the euro.

The PMI data for July generally aligned with expectations. The PMI for manufacturing fell slightly from 45.8 to 45.6 (expected 45.8), while the PMI for services rose from 51.9 to 53.3, with the growth attributed to a strong performance in France, which previously recorded weak economic performance. The increasing weakness in manufacturing could reflect a slowdown in activity in China and a subsequent decline in trade. However, there are no significant reasons to revise long-term models. The composite index increased from 50.2 to 51.2, indicating resilience in the economy, which gives the ECB room to conduct monetary policy without concern for the overall economic situation.

This image is no longer relevant

The ECB's report on harmonized wage rates, drawn from corporate data, stands out. In the second quarter, the average wage growth rate fell from 4.74% to 3.55%, which on one hand reduces the threat of a resurgence in inflation, but on the other hand, could prompt the ECB to further ease its policy.

Regarding inflation, the July report matched forecasts exactly. Core inflation, measured by the ECB's LIMI indicator, decreased slightly from 4.4% to 4.3%. Core inflation is the primary indicator for the ECB, as it remains high amid strong activity in the services sector and is therefore expected to remain elevated for some time. High core inflation will likely restrain the ECB from lowering rates, and the market anticipates that the ECB's rate trajectory will lag behind that of the Fed. Even if overall inflation falls to the 2% target, core inflation is expected to remain high, as is the view within both the ECB and the market, meaning there is no rush in the ECB's actions.

Currently, the market expects a 100 basis point cut by the Fed and a 50 basis point cut by the ECB by the end of the year—in September and December, respectively. The yield gap between the dollar and the euro is expected to change by approximately 50 basis points in favor of the euro. This is currently the main factor driving EUR/USD upward, assuming no unexpected macroeconomic events occur.

The net long position on the euro increased by $4.086 billion, reaching $7.79 billion during the reporting week, indicating bullish positioning. The calculated price is above the long-term average and is confidently rising.

This image is no longer relevant

The euro has successfully remained above the 1.1140 level, which we identified as the main target last week. The next target is 1.1226; a break above this level would signify an exit from the sideways range and open the door for further bullish movement. The 1.1140 level has now transformed into support, and while a pullback to this level is possible, it is less likely than a continuation of the upward trend.

Kuvat Raharjo,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
All Analytics
Fundamental analysis
XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast Gold is declining below the $3300 level today. U.S. PCE data met expectations. A shift in trade flows is helping the U.S. dollar regain positive momentum. This is also undermining
Irina Yanina
17:37 2025-05-30 +02:00
2230
Wave analysis
GBP/USD Analysis on May 30, 2025 The wave structure for GBP/USD continues to indicate the development of an upward impulsive wave pattern. The wave pattern is almost identical to that of EUR/USD. Until February
Chin Zhao
17:31 2025-05-30 +02:00
1930
Breaking Forecast Trading Plan Cryptocurrencies USD/RUB Russian Economy Video Analysis
Trading Instruments
EURUSD GBPUSD USDCHF USDCAD USDJPY AUDUSD EURGBP EURJPY NZDUSD EURNZD Silver Gold #CL #USDX COVID-19 Bitcoin
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Gold is declining below the $3300 level today. U.S. PCE data met expectations. A shift in trade flows is helping the U.S. dollar regain positive momentum. This is also undermining
Irina Yanina 17:37 2025-05-30 UTC+2

Inflation Is Almost Under Control

While the euro continues to hold its ground against the dollar, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Fabio Panetta indicated during an interview today that inflation in the eurozone
Jakub Novak 13:40 2025-05-30 UTC+2

USD/CAD. Analysis and Forecast

The USD/CAD pair is attempting to regain positive momentum today, though traders remain cautious ahead of the key U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index release. As a preferred inflation
Irina Yanina 13:22 2025-05-30 UTC+2

EUR/USD. Analysis and Forecast

The EUR/USD pair continues to struggle to recover after rebounding from the 1.1200 level reached earlier, showing a moderately negative bias, although the decline remains limited. The U.S. dollar
Irina Yanina 13:19 2025-05-30 UTC+2

Legal Disputes Between Trump and Companies Over Tariffs Will Negatively Impact Markets (There Is a Likelihood of Continued Decline in Bitcoin and Litecoin Prices)

Global markets are significantly influenced by events occurring in the United States, where both political and economic spheres continue to swing like a pendulum. Earlier this week, after the U.S
Pati Gani 11:11 2025-05-30 UTC+2

More Time is Needed

Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Lorie Logan indicated yesterday that it might take some time before policymakers understand how the economy will react to tariffs and other policy changes
Jakub Novak 10:53 2025-05-30 UTC+2

The ECB Should Not Delay Rate Cuts

While the euro is trying to regain its monthly highs after a fairly significant correction seen this week, a survey of several economists shows that the European Central Bank
Jakub Novak 10:49 2025-05-30 UTC+2

Markets Demand an Appeal

The S&P 500 started the day strong but ended on a downbeat note. Initially buoyed by the U.S. Court of International Trade's ruling that the White House's tariffs were illegal
Marek Petkovich 10:33 2025-05-30 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on May 30? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Several macroeconomic reports are set to be released on Friday, but none are deemed particularly significant. In Germany, the inflation report for May will be released, with expectations
Paolo Greco 06:51 2025-05-30 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – May 30: Justice Has Prevailed, but for How Long?

The GBP/USD currency pair closed below the moving average line on Thursday, and the dollar strengthened for three consecutive days. However, everything changed in the second half
Paolo Greco 03:51 2025-05-30 UTC+2

Top analytics

Relevance up to 10:00 UTC--4
XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast
17:37 2025-05-30
Fundamental analysis
Relevance up to 09:00 UTC--4
GBP/USD Analysis on May 30, 2025
17:31 2025-05-30
Wave analysis
Relevance up to 11:00 UTC--4
Trading Signals for GOLD for May 30, 2025: buy above $3,281 (200 EMA - 6/8 Murray)
17:35 2025-05-30
Technical analysis
Relevance up to 07:00 UTC--4
Inflation Is Almost Under Control
13:40 2025-05-30
Fundamental analysis
Relevance up to 11:00 UTC--4
Trading Signals for EUR/USD for May 30, 2025: sell below 1.1350 (21 SMA - 5/8 Murray)
17:33 2025-05-30
Technical analysis
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
Callback widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.