empty
26.02.2023 11:56 PM
Global oil market expects supply to fall and demand to rise

This image is no longer relevant

Oil prices were actively rising on Friday, all due to expectations of reduced supplies from Russia and increased demand in China.

Brent crude for April delivery added 0.73% at $82.81 a barrel on the London ICE Futures Exchange at 12:05 London time. As of 7:47 p.m. London time, it was already at $83.12.

The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) for April delivery rose by 1.15% to $76.26 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Investors ignored the change in U.S. oil inventory data released on Thursday. And the report of the Energy Information Administration showed that oil reserves rose by 7.6 million barrels last week. Analysts were expecting growth by only 2 million barrels.

The fact that since the beginning of the year, oil reserves have been significantly growing in the US speaks of the problems of its demand in the domestic market. The fall in demand is one of the harbingers of the coming slowdown in the U.S. economy. But, as we already noted, the oil market has not paid any special attention to this fact yet.

But the decision of the Russian authorities to reduce oil exports from Western ports in March has a much more significant meaning for the traders. According to statements of Russian officials, there are plans to cut the volume of crude exported from Russia by a significant 25%. The implementation of these plans may lead to a decrease in production by more than 500,000 barrels per day.

At the same time, the export of oil and fuel oil from Russia to China reached the highest level since April 2020 at 1.66 million barrels per day. Crude oil and condensate supplies increased to 1.52 million barrels. In addition to this, everyone expects an active recovery in the growth rate of the Chinese economy after the lifting of quarantine restrictions. At the same time, the discount policy of the Russian authorities can't help but please the Asian partners.

However, the Urals to Brent Crude Oil price difference may decrease in the near future due to the changes in the national legislation in terms of the mineral extraction tax and excise tax on oil. The proposed discount from April may go down from $34 to $25 per barrel.

There is speculation that the projected increase in the price of Urals oil could further cut hydrocarbon exports from Russia. If this assumption materializes, the volume of extracted oil will become even smaller, which may eventually result in a serious supply shortage on the world market. In other words, oil prices could rise significantly.

Andreeva Natalya,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Boeing climbs, Best Buy falls as investors rebalance across sectors

Best Buy shares fell after the company cut its full-year sales and earnings forecasts. Boeing, on the other hand, gained ground as its CEO announced plans to ramp up production

13:49 2025-05-30 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for May 30

The S&P 500 opened the session on a positive note but soon reversed course after officials clarified that previously overturned tariffs would remain in place pending the outcome

Ekaterina Kiseleva 12:20 2025-05-30 UTC+2

Boeing Gains, Best Buy Falls: Why Investors Are Betting on Different Assets

Best Buy Falls After Full-Year Sales, Profit Outlook Shrink Boeing Gains as CEO Looks to Boost 737 MAX Production Japan's Nikkei Lagging as Yen Strengthens on Safe Haven Demand Indices

Thomas Frank 10:10 2025-05-30 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for May 29

Markets reacted to a US Court of International Trade ruling that found the Trump administration's tariff actions exceeded its authority. The decision has introduced fresh uncertainty for the S&P

Ekaterina Kiseleva 11:15 2025-05-29 UTC+2

Stock storm: Nvidia soars, Dow falls, court knocks down Trump tariffs

Nvidia shares up 5% after close; co reports quarterly results Dick's Sporting Goods rises after Q1 results beat expectations US trade court blocks Trump tariffs European stocks rise

Thomas Frank 10:49 2025-05-29 UTC+2

From Nvidia to Xiaomi: What's Driving Stock Market Growth and Decline Today

Indices Rising: Dow 1.78%, S&P 500 2.05%, Nasdaq 2.47% Consumer Confidence Recovers in May Temu Parent PDD Holdings Falls on Quarterly Revenue Slip Chinese Xiaomi Shares Set to Rise 2.3%

Thomas Frank 12:06 2025-05-28 UTC+2

Whoever doesn't risk a recession doesn't reduce the national debt? Trader's calendar on May 29–31

To be at the center of global attention and to "shape the planet's destiny" — that's what Donald Trump enjoys most. For him, it's essential to constantly generate headlines

Svetlana Radchenko 11:47 2025-05-28 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for May 28

The S&P 500 index has broken through the key 5,908 level, signaling the end of its recent correction and opening the door to further upside. A break above the resistance

Ekaterina Kiseleva 11:25 2025-05-28 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for May 27

US President Donald Trump announced a 50% tariff on imports from the EU, yet financial markets responded with restraint. Investors are increasingly adopting a "threat and retreat" strategy, buying stocks

Ekaterina Kiseleva 11:54 2025-05-27 UTC+2

Nvidia on the agenda: markets await quarterly report, dollar nears fifth straight monthly decline

Stock markets showed mixed dynamics on Tuesday after Donald Trump unexpectedly postponed the introduction of the promised 50% tariffs on goods from the European Union. The move only increased uncertainty

Thomas Frank 11:31 2025-05-27 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.